Solar panels and battery storage unit representing Sunrun's growth in Q3 2024.

Sunrun (RUN) Q3 2024: Storage Growth and Solar Challenges

Sunrun Inc. (NYSE: RUN), America’s leading residential solar and battery storage provider, released its third-quarter 2024 financial results, showcasing mixed performance with notable achievements in storage deployment despite challenges in solar installations.

  • Total revenue reached $537.2 million, marking a 5% decline from Q3 2023
  • Storage capacity installations surged 92% year-over-year to 336 Megawatt hours
  • Customer agreements and incentives revenue grew 28% to $405.9 million
  • Net loss of $83.8 million ($0.37 per share)
  • Positive cash generation of $2.5 million for the second consecutive quarter
  • Storage attachment rate increased to 60%, up from 33% in Q3 2023

Sunrun’s remarkable performance in storage installations emerges as a bright spot in Q3 2024. The company installed 336 Megawatt hours of storage capacity, representing a 92% increase from the previous year. This achievement, coupled with the increased storage attachment rate of 60%, indicates strong customer demand for integrated solar and storage solutions.

While storage showed impressive growth, solar energy capacity installations faced headwinds, decreasing 11% year-over-year to 230 Megawatts. This decline signals potential market challenges and operational adjustments as the company focuses on profitability and cash generation over volume growth.

The financial results present a mixed picture:

  • Revenue decline of 5% indicates short-term challenges
  • Positive cash generation demonstrates improving operational efficiency
  • Customer agreements revenue growth of 28% shows strong recurring revenue potential
  • Net subscriber value increased 9% to $14,632

Sunrun achieved a significant milestone by becoming the first clean energy company to surpass 1 million residential solar customers. The company has also:

  • Partnered with 9 of the top 10 new home builders in California
  • Launched multiple virtual power plant programs
  • Successfully closed a $365 million securitization
  • Increased market share from 13% to 18% in residential solar installations

Q4 2024 Guidance

  • Storage Capacity: 320-350 Megawatt hours (52% growth at midpoint)
  • Solar Energy Capacity: 240-250 Megawatts (8% growth at midpoint)
  • Cash Generation: $50-125 million expected

2025 Projections

  • Cash Generation: $350-600 million
  • New homes division expected to grow by at least 50%

Potential Risks

  • Declining solar installation volumes
  • Ongoing net losses
  • Competitive pricing pressures
  • Policy uncertainty and regulatory changes

Growth Opportunities

  • Strong storage demand and attachment rates
  • Expanding new homes market
  • Virtual power plant programs
  • Grid services partnerships

Sunrun’s Q3 results highlight its successful pivot toward storage solutions while managing challenges in solar installations. The company’s focus on cash generation and strategic growth initiatives suggests a balanced approach to long-term value creation.

For a detailed analysis of Sunrun’s Q3 2024 performance, visit the full earnings report on EarningsCall SamurAI.

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